Using Integrated Administrative Data to Identify Youth who are at Risk of Poor Outcomes as Adults

Résumé du livre

This paper investigates the characteristics of young people aged 15 to 24 who are most at risk of poor long-term outcomes in New Zealand, as well as some of the fiscal costs involved. It is part of a broader research programme exploring the potential of linked administrative data that is underway at the Ministry of Social Development and Treasury. The study finds a number of characteristics can be identified throughout a person's early life that are predictive of future poor outcomes, including early contact with certain government agencies, demographic characteristics and geographic location, characteristics of the young person's caregiver, and early outcomes evident in data from the education, corrections, welfare and health systems. In general, geographic location is strongly associated with risk of poor outcomes.